dxt/dt=r(xt+yt+zt)-bxtyt-ext , dyt/dt=bxtyt-(c+e+v)yt , dzt/dt=vyt-ezt

This model describes an endemic model. The host population growth is taken into consideration in this model. The base model of host's growing is exponential growth model and Newborns are assumed to be susceptible. The number of susceptible population(X) is x, the patient(Y)'s population is y and cured (Z) population is z.Cure host assumed to have registance to infection. The initial z value, z0=0. When c>(r-e)(1+v/e) then the surviving host population (x+y+z) will converges to one stable value.


r : Intrinsic Rate of Natural Increace of Host

b : Infection Rate

c : Death Rate by Infection

e : Natural Death Rate

v : Cure Rate

x0 & y0 : Initial Susceptibles & Initial Patients

Simulation Time


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